Tracing the Possibility of a Biden Pardon for Trump
The question of whether Biden could pardon Trump has been a topic of heated debate, with many speculating on the political and legal implications. However, the situation appears to be a far stretch from reality for several reasons.
Conditions and Motivations for a Pardon
For Biden to even consider granting Trump a pardon, several extraordinarily improbable conditions would need to be met. The most notable of these is the statement: 'Hell would have to freeze over.' This hyperbole encapsulates the thought that there are no reasonable incentives or motivations for Biden to initiate such a pardoning process.
Historically, pardons have been granted under certain conditions, one of which is the expectation that the pardoned individual would behave themselves moving forward. This was the case when Gerald Ford pardoned Richard Nixon, offering him the chance to fade away quietly. However, with Donald Trump, there is no indication that he would adhere to such a promise, making a pardon fundamentally unfeasible.
Legal and Political Realities
Even if we overlook Trump's lack of inclination to change his behavior, other legal and political hurdles remain. For a pardon to be issued, the subject would need to have pleaded guilty or been convicted of the charges. In Trump's case, he has not been convicted and has steadfastly denied any wrongdoing, making it highly improbable that he would admit guilt even in the face of overwhelming evidence.
Moreover, the political climate poses additional challenges. Attempts to meddle in the legal process by partisan individuals have cast doubts on the fairness and integrity of the legal system. This raises questions about the credibility and effectiveness of any justice meted out, including the Georgia State RICO case, where the evidence overwhelmingly points to Trump's guilt.
Conclusion and Long-term Implications
Given these factors, it is highly unlikely that Biden would issue a pardon to Trump. The conditions required include societal upheaval, which is not a realistic or desirable outcome. Instead, as the former President's legal troubles continue, it is more plausible that any potential pardon would come years down the line, possibly during transitional periods or upcoming elections.
Biden may eventually find it expedient to issue a pardon, provided Trump's legal issues have concluded and he has been found guilty. However, given Trump's persistent antagonistic behavior and lack of remorse, it seems prudent for Biden to wait until his last day in office to make such a decision. This would culminate in a complex political landscape, with Harris possibly facing the challenge of running against another candidate in the 2024 presidential election.
Ultimately, the political and legal landscape surrounding a potential Trump pardon is fraught with complications. While the scenario creates a fascinating narrative, it is improbable and would require unprecedented shifts in both public and political attitudes.